Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5 near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, consistent with the city’s subtropical monsoon climatology and September average high of 31 °C. Light winds, high humidity, and cloud cover limit extreme heating while steering patterns show no strong cold-air intrusion or heat dome. Model consensus favors 31 °C as the most probable peak, supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability, with modest upside risk to 32–33 °C if afternoon insolation increases. Updated guidance from local agencies and global ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?
32°C 56%
31°C 32%
33°C or higher 9%
23°C or below <1%
$29,141 Обс.
$29,141 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
32%
32°C
56%
33°C or higher
9%
32°C 56%
31°C 32%
33°C or higher 9%
23°C or below <1%
$29,141 Обс.
$29,141 Обс.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
$541 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$305 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$401 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,080 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,448 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,483 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$9,376 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$4,775 Обс.
32%
32°C
$4,643 Обс.
56%
33°C or higher
$4,707 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5 near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, consistent with the city’s subtropical monsoon climatology and September average high of 31 °C. Light winds, high humidity, and cloud cover limit extreme heating while steering patterns show no strong cold-air intrusion or heat dome. Model consensus favors 31 °C as the most probable peak, supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability, with modest upside risk to 32–33 °C if afternoon insolation increases. Updated guidance from local agencies and global ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,141Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5 near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, consistent with the city’s subtropical monsoon climatology and September average high of 31 °C. Light winds, high humidity, and cloud cover limit extreme heating while steering patterns show no strong cold-air intrusion or heat dome. Model consensus favors 31 °C as the most probable peak, supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability, with modest upside risk to 32–33 °C if afternoon insolation increases. Updated guidance from local agencies and global ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29,141Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources place Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5 near 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, consistent with the city’s subtropical monsoon climatology and September average high of 31 °C. Light winds, high humidity, and cloud cover limit extreme heating while steering patterns show no strong cold-air intrusion or heat dome. Model consensus favors 31 °C as the most probable peak, supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability, with modest upside risk to 32–33 °C if afternoon insolation increases. Updated guidance from local agencies and global ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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