Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's August 10 high near 33–36°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and influence from the regional monsoon pattern or subtropical high. These factors support the market's leading implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C as the peak, reflecting normal August variability where daily maxima often reach the low-to-mid 30s but can spike higher under clearer skies or urban heat effects. Recent forecast runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with no major heatwave or tropical system altering steering patterns, keeping consensus centered on this narrow range while acknowledging model spread in convective activity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 10?
36°C 48%
35°C 30%
37°C 13%
34°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
30%
36°C
48%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 48%
35°C 30%
37°C 13%
34°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
$396 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$346 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$263 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$874 Обс.
1%
33°C
$641 Обс.
2%
34°C
$1,050 Обс.
8%
35°C
$798 Обс.
30%
36°C
$1,742 Обс.
48%
37°C
$471 Обс.
13%
38°C
$616 Обс.
3%
39°C or higher
$590 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's August 10 high near 33–36°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and influence from the regional monsoon pattern or subtropical high. These factors support the market's leading implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C as the peak, reflecting normal August variability where daily maxima often reach the low-to-mid 30s but can spike higher under clearer skies or urban heat effects. Recent forecast runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with no major heatwave or tropical system altering steering patterns, keeping consensus centered on this narrow range while acknowledging model spread in convective activity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,788Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's August 10 high near 33–36°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and influence from the regional monsoon pattern or subtropical high. These factors support the market's leading implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C as the peak, reflecting normal August variability where daily maxima often reach the low-to-mid 30s but can spike higher under clearer skies or urban heat effects. Recent forecast runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with no major heatwave or tropical system altering steering patterns, keeping consensus centered on this narrow range while acknowledging model spread in convective activity.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,788Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models from sources like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's August 10 high near 33–36°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, possible afternoon thunderstorms, and influence from the regional monsoon pattern or subtropical high. These factors support the market's leading implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C as the peak, reflecting normal August variability where daily maxima often reach the low-to-mid 30s but can spike higher under clearer skies or urban heat effects. Recent forecast runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with no major heatwave or tropical system altering steering patterns, keeping consensus centered on this narrow range while acknowledging model spread in convective activity.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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