**Official KMA forecasts for August 10 project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C at Incheon/Seoul stations under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chance and light easterly winds.** This follows the early-August heatwave peak (near 39°C) that has since moderated as the subtropical high weakens and increased cloud cover reduces surface solar heating. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, yet persistent warmth and high humidity keep the distribution centered on 32–34°C. Small differences in afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed, or any localized convection could shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those three outcomes rather than extremes. Updated KMA short-range guidance and any revised model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 10?
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 14%
НОВЕ
$17,453 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,453 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 14%
НОВЕ
$17,453 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,453 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
27°C or below
$1,752 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,197 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,777 Обс.
1%
30°C
$1,341 Обс.
1%
31°C
$1,146 Обс.
8%
32°C
$2,096 Обс.
22%
33°C
$2,261 Обс.
32%
34°C
$1,084 Обс.
24%
35°C
$1,772 Обс.
14%
36°C
$927 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$1,101 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official KMA forecasts for August 10 project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C at Incheon/Seoul stations under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chance and light easterly winds.** This follows the early-August heatwave peak (near 39°C) that has since moderated as the subtropical high weakens and increased cloud cover reduces surface solar heating. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, yet persistent warmth and high humidity keep the distribution centered on 32–34°C. Small differences in afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed, or any localized convection could shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those three outcomes rather than extremes. Updated KMA short-range guidance and any revised model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,453Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official KMA forecasts for August 10 project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C at Incheon/Seoul stations under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chance and light easterly winds.** This follows the early-August heatwave peak (near 39°C) that has since moderated as the subtropical high weakens and increased cloud cover reduces surface solar heating. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, yet persistent warmth and high humidity keep the distribution centered on 32–34°C. Small differences in afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed, or any localized convection could shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those three outcomes rather than extremes. Updated KMA short-range guidance and any revised model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,453Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official KMA forecasts for August 10 project a daytime maximum of 33–34°C at Incheon/Seoul stations under mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chance and light easterly winds.** This follows the early-August heatwave peak (near 39°C) that has since moderated as the subtropical high weakens and increased cloud cover reduces surface solar heating. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, yet persistent warmth and high humidity keep the distribution centered on 32–34°C. Small differences in afternoon cloud thickness, wind speed, or any localized convection could shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those three outcomes rather than extremes. Updated KMA short-range guidance and any revised model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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