Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Seattle’s August 10 high near 76–80 °F, with the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins holding the largest share of trader positioning. Subtle differences hinge on the strength of onshore flow and marine-layer stratus, which limit daytime heating, versus clearer skies and modest downslope warming that could push readings a degree or two higher. Typical August climatology centers on 76 °F, but persistent above-average 500-hPa heights this summer have supported recent upper-70s to low-80s readings. Traders are watching the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts, as small shifts in these variables can move the daily maximum across the closely spaced resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 10?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 10?
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 17%
80-81°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 17%
80-81°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
69°F or below
$170 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$48 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$192 Обс.
3%
74-75°F
$886 Обс.
17%
76-77°F
$402 Обс.
40%
78-79°F
$289 Обс.
31%
80-81°F
$130 Обс.
10%
82-83°F
$253 Обс.
4%
84-85°F
$264 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$252 Обс.
<1%
88°F or higher
$176 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Seattle’s August 10 high near 76–80 °F, with the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins holding the largest share of trader positioning. Subtle differences hinge on the strength of onshore flow and marine-layer stratus, which limit daytime heating, versus clearer skies and modest downslope warming that could push readings a degree or two higher. Typical August climatology centers on 76 °F, but persistent above-average 500-hPa heights this summer have supported recent upper-70s to low-80s readings. Traders are watching the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts, as small shifts in these variables can move the daily maximum across the closely spaced resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,743Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Seattle’s August 10 high near 76–80 °F, with the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins holding the largest share of trader positioning. Subtle differences hinge on the strength of onshore flow and marine-layer stratus, which limit daytime heating, versus clearer skies and modest downslope warming that could push readings a degree or two higher. Typical August climatology centers on 76 °F, but persistent above-average 500-hPa heights this summer have supported recent upper-70s to low-80s readings. Traders are watching the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts, as small shifts in these variables can move the daily maximum across the closely spaced resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,743Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Seattle’s August 10 high near 76–80 °F, with the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins holding the largest share of trader positioning. Subtle differences hinge on the strength of onshore flow and marine-layer stratus, which limit daytime heating, versus clearer skies and modest downslope warming that could push readings a degree or two higher. Typical August climatology centers on 76 °F, but persistent above-average 500-hPa heights this summer have supported recent upper-70s to low-80s readings. Traders are watching the next model cycle and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts, as small shifts in these variables can move the daily maximum across the closely spaced resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання