Latest forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models indicates a high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny skies over Paris on August 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 32°C through strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or advection of cooler Atlantic air. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (28.5%), consistent with observed warming trends through early August and recent model consensus shifting away from stronger heatwave amplification seen earlier in the summer. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget station readings, with traders discounting extremes above 34°C due to moderating boundary-layer moisture and the low historical frequency of 35°C+ days in mid-August. Updated runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 10?
32°C 53%
33°C 29%
31°C 15%
34°C 5%
НОВЕ
$11,559 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,559 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
15%
32°C
53%
33°C
29%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 29%
31°C 15%
34°C 5%
НОВЕ
$11,559 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,559 Обс.
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$770 Обс.
1%
31°C
$3,009 Обс.
15%
32°C
$1,988 Обс.
53%
33°C
$1,628 Обс.
29%
34°C
$688 Обс.
5%
35°C
$734 Обс.
2%
36°C
$539 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$612 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$476 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$557 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$557 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models indicates a high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny skies over Paris on August 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 32°C through strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or advection of cooler Atlantic air. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (28.5%), consistent with observed warming trends through early August and recent model consensus shifting away from stronger heatwave amplification seen earlier in the summer. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget station readings, with traders discounting extremes above 34°C due to moderating boundary-layer moisture and the low historical frequency of 35°C+ days in mid-August. Updated runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,559Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models indicates a high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny skies over Paris on August 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 32°C through strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or advection of cooler Atlantic air. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (28.5%), consistent with observed warming trends through early August and recent model consensus shifting away from stronger heatwave amplification seen earlier in the summer. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget station readings, with traders discounting extremes above 34°C due to moderating boundary-layer moisture and the low historical frequency of 35°C+ days in mid-August. Updated runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,559Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models indicates a high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and mostly sunny skies over Paris on August 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 32°C through strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover or advection of cooler Atlantic air. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 32°C (52.5%) and 33°C (28.5%), consistent with observed warming trends through early August and recent model consensus shifting away from stronger heatwave amplification seen earlier in the summer. Resolution hinges on official Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget station readings, with traders discounting extremes above 34°C due to moderating boundary-layer moisture and the low historical frequency of 35°C+ days in mid-August. Updated runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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