Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers favors a Munich peak of 33–34°C on August 10, supported by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower troposphere, suppresses cloud cover, and maximizes solar insolation under clear skies. Minor differences between the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, or the precise timing of any residual moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C across ensemble members. Official guidance from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF runs currently align with this range, though late updates could alter the exact threshold before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against historical August climatology, where such warm anomalies remain plausible but sensitive to short-term atmospheric adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 10?
34°C 46%
33°C 38%
35°C 12%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
38%
34°C
46%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
33°C 38%
35°C 12%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$425 Обс.
1%
31°C
$194 Обс.
2%
32°C
$1,173 Обс.
7%
33°C
$1,146 Обс.
38%
34°C
$917 Обс.
46%
35°C
$1,387 Обс.
12%
36°C
$331 Обс.
2%
37°C
$338 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$332 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$386 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$361 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers favors a Munich peak of 33–34°C on August 10, supported by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower troposphere, suppresses cloud cover, and maximizes solar insolation under clear skies. Minor differences between the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, or the precise timing of any residual moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C across ensemble members. Official guidance from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF runs currently align with this range, though late updates could alter the exact threshold before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against historical August climatology, where such warm anomalies remain plausible but sensitive to short-term atmospheric adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,980Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers favors a Munich peak of 33–34°C on August 10, supported by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower troposphere, suppresses cloud cover, and maximizes solar insolation under clear skies. Minor differences between the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, or the precise timing of any residual moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C across ensemble members. Official guidance from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF runs currently align with this range, though late updates could alter the exact threshold before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against historical August climatology, where such warm anomalies remain plausible but sensitive to short-term atmospheric adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,980Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers favors a Munich peak of 33–34°C on August 10, supported by persistent high-pressure subsidence that warms the lower troposphere, suppresses cloud cover, and maximizes solar insolation under clear skies. Minor differences between the closely matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, or the precise timing of any residual moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C across ensemble members. Official guidance from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF runs currently align with this range, though late updates could alter the exact threshold before resolution. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against historical August climatology, where such warm anomalies remain plausible but sensitive to short-term atmospheric adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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