Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on July 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 26?
22°C 27%
21°C 21%
23°C 19%
24°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 26, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
21%
22°C
27%
23°C
19%
24°C
16%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 27%
21°C 21%
23°C 19%
24°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 26, 2026
19°C or below
$231 Обс.
4%
20°C
$9 Обс.
13%
21°C
$3 Обс.
21%
22°C
$0 Обс.
27%
23°C
$0 Обс.
19%
24°C
$29 Обс.
16%
25°C
$1 Обс.
8%
26°C
$46 Обс.
3%
27°C
$42 Обс.
2%
28°C
$21 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$157 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$540Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$540Дата завершення
Jul 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance for Moscow shows a narrow spread in maximum temperatures around 20–25°C on July 26, with ensemble members favoring the 22–24°C range amid a broader seasonal cooling trend several degrees below the long-term July average. Differentiating factors include the precise track of an approaching trough, which modulates southerly warm-air advection versus northerly cooler flows, along with variable cloud cover that alters surface insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Short-range forecasts from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts exhibit modest spread due to sensitivity in low-level wind patterns and moisture, keeping trader consensus distributed across adjacent outcomes while highlighting the value of updated runs expected within the next 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання