Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers converge on a daytime maximum near 24°C for Moscow on August 10, supported by persistent high-pressure ridging and modest southerly flow that limits both warming aloft and strong surface heating. This places 24°C as the modal outcome, consistent with climatological August averages of 22–23°C and the absence of anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification in the latest model runs. Minor upward revisions in some guidance for 25°C reflect slightly reduced cloud cover expectations, yet the bulk of probability remains anchored around 24°C given typical diurnal ranges and urban heat-island effects under partly cloudy skies. Updated model outputs expected overnight will further refine resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 10?
24°C 51%
23°C 25%
25°C 21%
22°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
51%
25°C
21%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 25%
25°C 21%
22°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
51%
25°C
21%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers converge on a daytime maximum near 24°C for Moscow on August 10, supported by persistent high-pressure ridging and modest southerly flow that limits both warming aloft and strong surface heating. This places 24°C as the modal outcome, consistent with climatological August averages of 22–23°C and the absence of anomalous heat advection or clear-sky amplification in the latest model runs. Minor upward revisions in some guidance for 25°C reflect slightly reduced cloud cover expectations, yet the bulk of probability remains anchored around 24°C given typical diurnal ranges and urban heat-island effects under partly cloudy skies. Updated model outputs expected overnight will further refine resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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