Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on July 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 22?
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 11.4%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
$12,043 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,043 Обс.
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
37%
30°C
43%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 37%
31°C 11.4%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
$12,043 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,043 Обс.
Jul 22, 2026
25°C or below
$408 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$371 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$636 Обс.
1%
28°C
$2,865 Обс.
10%
29°C
$1,469 Обс.
37%
30°C
$3,246 Обс.
43%
31°C
$1,576 Обс.
11%
32°C
$488 Обс.
2%
33°C
$568 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$293 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$124 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,043Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,043Дата завершення
Jul 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 12:09 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the ECMWF and national meteorological services show stable high-pressure dominance over northern Italy, with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover expected on July 22, supporting daytime maxima near 29–30°C in Milan. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44% for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, while the low odds on 31°C or higher reflect limited warming potential from current 850 hPa temperatures and soil moisture. Earlier July heat, with peaks above 35°C, has moderated as a transient trough passes, and no significant frontal systems or Saharan air advection are forecast before the 22nd. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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