Current forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C for Karachi on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and humidity near 65–75%, aligning with the market's strong 91% implied probability for that outcome. September climatology supports this positioning, with long-term averages placing the monthly high around 33–34°C amid typical post-monsoon conditions. Recent observations show similar daily peaks, with limited convective activity unlikely to suppress temperatures further. A shift toward clearer skies or reduced wind could push readings to 34°C or higher, while heavier cloud cover or localized showers would favor 32°C or below; updated official reports from the Pakistan Meteorological Department will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on September 5?
33°C 95%
34°C 3.6%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$18,063 Обс.
$18,063 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
95%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 95%
34°C 3.6%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$18,063 Обс.
$18,063 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
95%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C for Karachi on September 5 under mostly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h, and humidity near 65–75%, aligning with the market's strong 91% implied probability for that outcome. September climatology supports this positioning, with long-term averages placing the monthly high around 33–34°C amid typical post-monsoon conditions. Recent observations show similar daily peaks, with limited convective activity unlikely to suppress temperatures further. A shift toward clearer skies or reduced wind could push readings to 34°C or higher, while heavier cloud cover or localized showers would favor 32°C or below; updated official reports from the Pakistan Meteorological Department will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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