Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C on August 10 under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds and moderate humidity from the surrounding seas supporting the market's strong consensus on 28°C. Official model guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF shows stable high-pressure influence without significant heat advection or clear-sky extremes that would push maxima above 30°C or below 27°C. Historical climatology places early-August averages around 28°C, with low day-to-day variability at this time of year, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations. Short-range model updates over the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, keeping the implied probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local microclimate effects or minor forecast adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 10?
28°C 55%
27°C 27%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
27%
28°C
55%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
27°C 27%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
$325 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$410 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$246 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$222 Обс.
5%
27°C
$551 Обс.
27%
28°C
$2,050 Обс.
55%
29°C
$375 Обс.
15%
30°C
$140 Обс.
3%
31°C
$151 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$160 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$271 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C on August 10 under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds and moderate humidity from the surrounding seas supporting the market's strong consensus on 28°C. Official model guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF shows stable high-pressure influence without significant heat advection or clear-sky extremes that would push maxima above 30°C or below 27°C. Historical climatology places early-August averages around 28°C, with low day-to-day variability at this time of year, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations. Short-range model updates over the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, keeping the implied probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local microclimate effects or minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,901Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C on August 10 under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds and moderate humidity from the surrounding seas supporting the market's strong consensus on 28°C. Official model guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF shows stable high-pressure influence without significant heat advection or clear-sky extremes that would push maxima above 30°C or below 27°C. Historical climatology places early-August averages around 28°C, with low day-to-day variability at this time of year, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations. Short-range model updates over the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, keeping the implied probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local microclimate effects or minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,901Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul indicate daytime highs near 28–30°C on August 10 under typical late-summer conditions, with light winds and moderate humidity from the surrounding seas supporting the market's strong consensus on 28°C. Official model guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF shows stable high-pressure influence without significant heat advection or clear-sky extremes that would push maxima above 30°C or below 27°C. Historical climatology places early-August averages around 28°C, with low day-to-day variability at this time of year, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observational data from local stations. Short-range model updates over the past 48 hours have shown minimal shifts, keeping the implied probabilities tightly clustered while acknowledging residual uncertainty from local microclimate effects or minor forecast adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання