Erdoğan’s current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with no scheduled vote or constitutional trigger for removal before December 2026. Recent developments, including May 2026 court rulings that nullified opposition CHP leadership elections and prompted protests, have further consolidated the ruling AKP’s institutional advantages and limited viable challenges. Economic pressures and health speculation persist but have not produced credible mechanisms for early exit. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on this structural timeline and the absence of imminent political or legal developments capable of forcing a leadership change within the narrow window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$510,679 Обс.
$510,679 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Заробляйте 3.25%
$510,679 Обс.
$510,679 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Заробляйте 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with no scheduled vote or constitutional trigger for removal before December 2026. Recent developments, including May 2026 court rulings that nullified opposition CHP leadership elections and prompted protests, have further consolidated the ruling AKP’s institutional advantages and limited viable challenges. Economic pressures and health speculation persist but have not produced credible mechanisms for early exit. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on this structural timeline and the absence of imminent political or legal developments capable of forcing a leadership change within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$510,679Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with no scheduled vote or constitutional trigger for removal before December 2026. Recent developments, including May 2026 court rulings that nullified opposition CHP leadership elections and prompted protests, have further consolidated the ruling AKP’s institutional advantages and limited viable challenges. Economic pressures and health speculation persist but have not produced credible mechanisms for early exit. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on this structural timeline and the absence of imminent political or legal developments capable of forcing a leadership change within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$510,679Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETВирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan’s current presidential term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with no scheduled vote or constitutional trigger for removal before December 2026. Recent developments, including May 2026 court rulings that nullified opposition CHP leadership elections and prompted protests, have further consolidated the ruling AKP’s institutional advantages and limited viable challenges. Economic pressures and health speculation persist but have not produced credible mechanisms for early exit. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on this structural timeline and the absence of imminent political or legal developments capable of forcing a leadership change within the narrow window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання