The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field of declared or potential candidates after Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit ends his eligibility. Trader focus centers on Marine Le Pen's legal status following her upheld embezzlement conviction and partial appeal outcome, which shortened her ban and allowed her to confirm a run despite conditions she has rejected; National Rally polling leads the first round near 35 percent, with Jordan Bardella positioned as the fallback. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal anchor center-right efforts, Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' nomination, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads the left amid broader fragmentation. Upcoming party decisions and any further appeals will shape the final ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$296,317 Обс.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%

Marine Le Pen
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
86%

Édouard Philippe
85%

Fabien Roussel
81%

Bruno Retailleau
77%

Raphaël Glucksmann
63%

Éric Zemmour
59%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
56%

David Lisnard
56%

François Ruffin
44%

Sarah Knafo
42%

Dominique de Villepin
31%

François Hollande
31%

Gabriel Attal
30%

Marine Tondelier
27%

Juan Branco
13%

Jordan Bardella
13%

Xavier Bertrand
13%

François Asselineau
12%

Bernard Cazeneuve
12%

Jérôme Guedj
10%

Sébastien Lecornu
8%

Karim Bouamrane
8%

Manuel Bompard
8%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%

Matthieu Pigasse
7%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

François Bayrou
6%

Manuel Valls
6%

Valérie Pécresse
5%

Philippe de Villiers
5%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Gérald Darmanin
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Carole Delga
3%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Bally Bagayoko
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Jean Castex
3%

Delphine Batho
3%

Élisabeth Borne
2%

Michel Barnier
2%

Olivier Faure
35%
$296,317 Обс.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
95%

Marine Le Pen
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
86%

Édouard Philippe
85%

Fabien Roussel
81%

Bruno Retailleau
77%

Raphaël Glucksmann
63%

Éric Zemmour
59%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
56%

David Lisnard
56%

François Ruffin
44%

Sarah Knafo
42%

Dominique de Villepin
31%

François Hollande
31%

Gabriel Attal
30%

Marine Tondelier
27%

Juan Branco
13%

Jordan Bardella
13%

Xavier Bertrand
13%

François Asselineau
12%

Bernard Cazeneuve
12%

Jérôme Guedj
10%

Sébastien Lecornu
8%

Karim Bouamrane
8%

Manuel Bompard
8%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
7%

Matthieu Pigasse
7%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

François Bayrou
6%

Manuel Valls
6%

Valérie Pécresse
5%

Philippe de Villiers
5%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Gérald Darmanin
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Carole Delga
3%

Mathilde Panot
3%

Bally Bagayoko
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Jean Castex
3%

Delphine Batho
3%

Élisabeth Borne
2%

Michel Barnier
2%

Olivier Faure
35%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field of declared or potential candidates after Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit ends his eligibility. Trader focus centers on Marine Le Pen's legal status following her upheld embezzlement conviction and partial appeal outcome, which shortened her ban and allowed her to confirm a run despite conditions she has rejected; National Rally polling leads the first round near 35 percent, with Jordan Bardella positioned as the fallback. Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal anchor center-right efforts, Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' nomination, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads the left amid broader fragmentation. Upcoming party decisions and any further appeals will shape the final ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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