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Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$10.9K Vol.
$192 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
33%
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$1.4K Vol.
$3.1K Liq.
2
16%
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15.1K Vol.
$4.2K Liq.
5%
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$11.1K Vol.
$12.2K Liq.
95%
$40 trillion
US recession by end of 2026?
$2M Vol.
$29.3K Liq.
69
Ends in 8 months
18%
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$21.2K Vol.
$22.3K Liq.
Ends in 9 months
46%
800–900B
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
$1.5K Vol.
$137 Liq.
28%
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
$5 Vol.
$220 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
41%
Up
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?
$15.2K Vol.
$12.7K Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
90%
$1.2B
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$2.8K Vol.
$1.8K Liq.
Ends in 5 months
84%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
$600K Vol.
$32.2K Liq.
71%
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
$75.8K today
$118K Liq.
Ends in 8 days
99%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$6M Vol.
$144K Liq.
71
December 31
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$3.6K Vol.
$1.5K Liq.
14%
Fed Decision in September?
$182K Vol.
$349K Liq.
Ends in 3 months
76%
No change
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2.5K Vol.
$6.6K Liq.
88%
Fed Decision in July?
$9M Vol.
$249K today
$919K Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
94%
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?
$43.1K Vol.
$8.7K Liq.
Ends in 21 days
1%
June 30
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
$6.0K Vol.
$9.9K Liq.
25%
2.0–2.5%
Fed rate cut by...?
$83.6K today
$230K Liq.
17
23%
December Meeting
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