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Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Palakasan·UFC

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

Justin Gaethje 84.7%

Charles Oliveira 5.1%

Ilia Topuria 4.6%

Arman Tsarukyan 3.3%

Polymarket

$671,741 Vol.

Justin Gaethje 84.7%

Charles Oliveira 5.1%

Ilia Topuria 4.6%

Arman Tsarukyan 3.3%

Polymarket

$671,741 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$19,045 Vol.

5%

Arman Tsarukyan

$9,051 Vol.

3%

Charles Oliveira

$8,548 Vol.

5%

Max Holloway

$16,601 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$25,907 Vol.

85%

Paddy Pimblett

$526,441 Vol.

2%

Dan Hooker

$2,174 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$1,993 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$53,852 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Fiziev

$2,086 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$2,429 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Ruffy

$3,615 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Justin Gaethje holds the UFC lightweight title after recent victories that included capturing the interim belt and unifying it against top competition, establishing him as the clear frontrunner through the end of 2026. His experience, durability, and ability to perform in high-stakes bouts underpin trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability he remains champion. Ilia Topuria's extended hiatus following personal matters and prior title loss has shifted momentum away from the former champ and other contenders. Fighters like Mauricio Ruffy, Charles Oliveira, Arman Tsarukyan, and Paddy Pimblett trail significantly due to inconsistent recent results, stylistic matchups favoring established veterans, and limited title opportunities in the remaining schedule. Gaethje's stated reluctance for additional 2026 fights further supports stability in current positioning.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$671,741
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Justin Gaethje holds the UFC lightweight title after recent victories that included capturing the interim belt and unifying it against top competition, establishing him as the clear frontrunner through the end of 2026. His experience, durability, and ability to perform in high-stakes bouts underpin trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability he remains champion. Ilia Topuria's extended hiatus following personal matters and prior title loss has shifted momentum away from the former champ and other contenders. Fighters like Mauricio Ruffy, Charles Oliveira, Arman Tsarukyan, and Paddy Pimblett trail significantly due to inconsistent recent results, stylistic matchups favoring established veterans, and limited title opportunities in the remaining schedule. Gaethje's stated reluctance for additional 2026 fights further supports stability in current positioning.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$671,741
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Justin Gaethje" sa 85%, sinusundan ng "Ilia Topuria" sa 5%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 85¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $671.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay "Justin Gaethje" sa 85%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ilia Topuria" sa 5%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.