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icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 41%

Patrick Paquet 38%

Stéphanie Martin 1.2%

Charles Hudon <1%

Polymarket

$11,133 Vol.

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 41%

Patrick Paquet 38%

Stéphanie Martin 1.2%

Charles Hudon <1%

Polymarket

$11,133 Vol.

icon for Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

$1,155 Vol.

41%

icon for Patrick Paquet

Patrick Paquet

$8,038 Vol.

34%

icon for Stéphanie Martin

Stéphanie Martin

$1,058 Vol.

1%

icon for Charles Hudon

Charles Hudon

$883 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the open-seat Vanier-Les Rivières riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight multi-candidate contest among CAQ nominee Françoise Faverjon-Fortin, PCQ candidate Patrick Paquet, PQ nominee Stéphanie Martin, and PLQ contender Charles Hudon. Recent projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the top three parties within a few points in the mid-20s to low-30s range, driven by the incumbent CAQ MNA’s retirement, regional strength for the Conservatives in Quebec City ridings, and a broader provincial rebound for the Parti Québécois. Local candidate profiles—Paquet’s municipal experience, Faverjon-Fortin’s business background, Martin’s journalism profile, and Hudon’s policing career—have kept the race competitive without a clear frontrunner. The September 17 nomination deadline and advance polls could clarify voter preferences on issues such as fiscal policy and regional governance before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$11,133
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the open-seat Vanier-Les Rivières riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight multi-candidate contest among CAQ nominee Françoise Faverjon-Fortin, PCQ candidate Patrick Paquet, PQ nominee Stéphanie Martin, and PLQ contender Charles Hudon. Recent projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the top three parties within a few points in the mid-20s to low-30s range, driven by the incumbent CAQ MNA’s retirement, regional strength for the Conservatives in Quebec City ridings, and a broader provincial rebound for the Parti Québécois. Local candidate profiles—Paquet’s municipal experience, Faverjon-Fortin’s business background, Martin’s journalism profile, and Hudon’s policing career—have kept the race competitive without a clear frontrunner. The September 17 nomination deadline and advance polls could clarify voter preferences on issues such as fiscal policy and regional governance before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$11,133
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" sa 41%, sinusundan ng "Patrick Paquet" sa 34%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 41¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $11.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 31, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" sa 41%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Patrick Paquet" sa 34%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.