**Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD) as the largest party ahead of the September 13 election, aligning with trader consensus favoring an S margin of 7–10%.** The lead has narrowed from double digits earlier in the summer as the right-wing Tidö bloc closed the overall gap through gains by the Moderates, Christian Democrats, and especially the Liberals, who have cleared the 4% threshold in the most recent Novus surveys. This shift has made bloc outcomes more competitive while leaving S’s individual advantage over SD relatively stable near the 7–10 point range. Campaign focus on the economy, crime, immigration, and energy has not produced major last-minute volatility in the S–SD differential. The three-day window to election day limits scope for further significant movement absent major events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateS 7-10% 51%
S 4-7% 22%
S 10-13% 18%
S <4% 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
S <4%
6%
S 4-7%
22%
S 7-10%
51%
S 10-13%
18%
S 13%+
5%
Another Party Wins
3%
S 7-10% 51%
S 4-7% 22%
S 10-13% 18%
S <4% 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
S <4%
$1,190 Vol.
6%
S 4-7%
$14 Vol.
22%
S 7-10%
$408 Vol.
51%
S 10-13%
$29 Vol.
18%
S 13%+
$134 Vol.
5%
Another Party Wins
$78 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.**Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD) as the largest party ahead of the September 13 election, aligning with trader consensus favoring an S margin of 7–10%.** The lead has narrowed from double digits earlier in the summer as the right-wing Tidö bloc closed the overall gap through gains by the Moderates, Christian Democrats, and especially the Liberals, who have cleared the 4% threshold in the most recent Novus surveys. This shift has made bloc outcomes more competitive while leaving S’s individual advantage over SD relatively stable near the 7–10 point range. Campaign focus on the economy, crime, immigration, and energy has not produced major last-minute volatility in the S–SD differential. The three-day window to election day limits scope for further significant movement absent major events.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$1,853Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.**Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD) as the largest party ahead of the September 13 election, aligning with trader consensus favoring an S margin of 7–10%.** The lead has narrowed from double digits earlier in the summer as the right-wing Tidö bloc closed the overall gap through gains by the Moderates, Christian Democrats, and especially the Liberals, who have cleared the 4% threshold in the most recent Novus surveys. This shift has made bloc outcomes more competitive while leaving S’s individual advantage over SD relatively stable near the 7–10 point range. Campaign focus on the economy, crime, immigration, and energy has not produced major last-minute volatility in the S–SD differential. The three-day window to election day limits scope for further significant movement absent major events.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question.
If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Volume
$1,853Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats (S) roughly 8–9 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats (SD) as the largest party ahead of the September 13 election, aligning with trader consensus favoring an S margin of 7–10%.** The lead has narrowed from double digits earlier in the summer as the right-wing Tidö bloc closed the overall gap through gains by the Moderates, Christian Democrats, and especially the Liberals, who have cleared the 4% threshold in the most recent Novus surveys. This shift has made bloc outcomes more competitive while leaving S’s individual advantage over SD relatively stable near the 7–10 point range. Campaign focus on the economy, crime, immigration, and energy has not produced major last-minute volatility in the S–SD differential. The three-day window to election day limits scope for further significant movement absent major events.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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