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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?
Politika·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?
Politika·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?

Over

56% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO

Over

56% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Moderate Party (M) wins at least 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Moderate Party (M) wins less than 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from Statistics Sweden and aggregated surveys through mid-2026 places the Moderate Party (Moderaterna) at 17–18.1 percent, hovering near the 17 percent threshold and reflecting modest erosion from its 19.1 percent result in 2022. As the leading party in the incumbent Tidö coalition government under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, Moderaterna faces headwinds from Sweden Democrats gains in voter preference and a broader right-bloc realignment ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Social Democratic support remains steady above 32 percent, while gender and regional voting patterns continue to influence Moderate totals. Traders price a slim probability edge for finishing above 17 percent based on this narrow polling band and limited time for major shifts before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Moderate Party (M) wins at least 17% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve to “Under” if Moderate Party (M) wins less than 17% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$61
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Moderate Party (M) wins at least 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Moderate Party (M) wins less than 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Moderate Party (M) wins at least 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Moderate Party (M) wins less than 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling from Statistics Sweden and aggregated surveys through mid-2026 places the Moderate Party (Moderaterna) at 17–18.1 percent, hovering near the 17 percent threshold and reflecting modest erosion from its 19.1 percent result in 2022. As the leading party in the incumbent Tidö coalition government under Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, Moderaterna faces headwinds from Sweden Democrats gains in voter preference and a broader right-bloc realignment ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election. Social Democratic support remains steady above 32 percent, while gender and regional voting patterns continue to influence Moderate totals. Traders price a slim probability edge for finishing above 17 percent based on this narrow polling band and limited time for major shifts before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Over” if Moderate Party (M) wins at least 17% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve to “Under” if Moderate Party (M) wins less than 17% of all valid votes in the specified election

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$61
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Moderate Party (M) wins at least 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Moderate Party (M) wins less than 17% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Ang "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?" sa 56%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 56¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 13, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?" ay "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?" sa 56%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.