Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$320,740 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
7%
↑ $8,600
15%
↑ $8,200
37%
↑ $8,000
52%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
61%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6,200
11%
↓ $6,000
10%
↓ $5,800
8%
↓ $5,200
6%
↓ $4,500
3%
$320,740 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,465 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
7%
↑ $8,600
$29,749 Vol.
15%
↑ $8,200
$22,155 Vol.
37%
↑ $8,000
$489 Vol.
52%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
61%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6,200
$45,450 Vol.
11%
↓ $6,000
$750 Vol.
10%
↓ $5,800
$39,676 Vol.
8%
↓ $5,200
$53,773 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,500
$58,812 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$320,740Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$320,740Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Robust corporate earnings growth, particularly in technology and AI-driven sectors with Wall Street projecting 23-25% S&P 500 EPS expansion for 2026, serves as the primary driver supporting current market-implied odds for year-end levels near or above 8,000. The index trades around 7,750 amid cooling July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and resilient Q2 GDP at 1.5% annualized, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Futures markets price a steady-to-higher policy path, with potential September FOMC clarity and August inflation data as near-term catalysts that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations. Elevated multiples introduce sensitivity to any growth or geopolitical surprises.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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