Recent U.S. economic data, including a strong May jobs report and elevated inflation readings driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have shifted trader focus toward a more restrictive Federal Reserve path. With the fed funds rate near 3.6% and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy steady under new leadership, futures markets now price a higher likelihood of rate stability or modest hikes by year-end rather than cuts. Resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-related gains supporting projected double-digit S&P 500 profit growth, provide a counterbalance, though recent index volatility around the 7,380–7,600 range and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.55% reflect sensitivity to inflation persistence and growth moderation forecasts of about 2.1–2.2% for 2026. Key upcoming releases include further CPI and labor data ahead of the December resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$168,338 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
16%
↑ $8,200
29%
↑ $7,800
60%
↓ $6,200
33%
↓ $5,800
26%
↓ $5,200
14%
↓ $4,500
10%
$168,338 Vol.
↑ $9,300
$3,380 Vol.
6%
↑ $8,600
$13,043 Vol.
16%
↑ $8,200
$4,976 Vol.
29%
↑ $7,800
$4,238 Vol.
60%
↓ $6,200
$24,299 Vol.
33%
↓ $5,800
$20,782 Vol.
26%
↓ $5,200
$23,256 Vol.
14%
↓ $4,500
$23,671 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent U.S. economic data, including a strong May jobs report and elevated inflation readings driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have shifted trader focus toward a more restrictive Federal Reserve path. With the fed funds rate near 3.6% and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy steady under new leadership, futures markets now price a higher likelihood of rate stability or modest hikes by year-end rather than cuts. Resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-related gains supporting projected double-digit S&P 500 profit growth, provide a counterbalance, though recent index volatility around the 7,380–7,600 range and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.55% reflect sensitivity to inflation persistence and growth moderation forecasts of about 2.1–2.2% for 2026. Key upcoming releases include further CPI and labor data ahead of the December resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$168,338Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent U.S. economic data, including a strong May jobs report and elevated inflation readings driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have shifted trader focus toward a more restrictive Federal Reserve path. With the fed funds rate near 3.6% and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy steady under new leadership, futures markets now price a higher likelihood of rate stability or modest hikes by year-end rather than cuts. Resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-related gains supporting projected double-digit S&P 500 profit growth, provide a counterbalance, though recent index volatility around the 7,380–7,600 range and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.55% reflect sensitivity to inflation persistence and growth moderation forecasts of about 2.1–2.2% for 2026. Key upcoming releases include further CPI and labor data ahead of the December resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$168,338Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. economic data, including a strong May jobs report and elevated inflation readings driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have shifted trader focus toward a more restrictive Federal Reserve path. With the fed funds rate near 3.6% and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting expected to hold policy steady under new leadership, futures markets now price a higher likelihood of rate stability or modest hikes by year-end rather than cuts. Resilient corporate earnings, particularly AI-related gains supporting projected double-digit S&P 500 profit growth, provide a counterbalance, though recent index volatility around the 7,380–7,600 range and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.55% reflect sensitivity to inflation persistence and growth moderation forecasts of about 2.1–2.2% for 2026. Key upcoming releases include further CPI and labor data ahead of the December resolution window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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