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icon for South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory

Graham Nordone <5% 95%

Graham Nordone 5–10% 4.1%

Graham Nordone 30%+ <1%

Graham Nordone 25–30% <1%

Polymarket

$212,825 Vol.

Graham Nordone <5% 95%

Graham Nordone 5–10% 4.1%

Graham Nordone 30%+ <1%

Graham Nordone 25–30% <1%

Polymarket

$212,825 Vol.

icon for Graham Nordone 30%+

Graham Nordone 30%+

$574 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Nordone 25–30%

Graham Nordone 25–30%

$717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Nordone 20–25%

Graham Nordone 20–25%

$28,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Nordone 15–20%

Graham Nordone 15–20%

$25,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Nordone 10–15%

Graham Nordone 10–15%

$4,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Nordone 5–10%

Graham Nordone 5–10%

$63,925 Vol.

4%

icon for Graham Nordone <5%

Graham Nordone <5%

$44,051 Vol.

95%

icon for Norman <5%

Norman <5%

$10,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norman 5–10%

Norman 5–10%

$11,897 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norman 10–15%

Norman 10–15%

$10,119 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norman 15–20%

Norman 15–20%

$11,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Norman 20%+

Norman 20%+

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham Nordone secured the Republican nomination in South Carolina’s special Senate primary runoff by a narrow margin over Rep. Ralph Norman, with unofficial results showing approximately 52% to 48% after the August 25 vote. Trump’s endorsement, rally appearance, and significant PAC spending mobilized broader statewide support that offset Norman’s strength in the Upstate region and his congressional base. The outcome reflected divided GOP preferences in a crowded field that carried over to the two-candidate contest, producing a modest victory margin rather than a decisive blowout. Official certification or any limited recount could still adjust the final difference by a small amount, though preliminary tallies across nearly all precincts make larger shifts improbable.

The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$212,825
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham Nordone secured the Republican nomination in South Carolina’s special Senate primary runoff by a narrow margin over Rep. Ralph Norman, with unofficial results showing approximately 52% to 48% after the August 25 vote. Trump’s endorsement, rally appearance, and significant PAC spending mobilized broader statewide support that offset Norman’s strength in the Upstate region and his congressional base. The outcome reflected divided GOP preferences in a crowded field that carried over to the two-candidate contest, producing a modest victory margin rather than a decisive blowout. Official certification or any limited recount could still adjust the final difference by a small amount, though preliminary tallies across nearly all precincts make larger shifts improbable.

The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$212,825
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Kaugnay

icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?

25%
icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?

28%
icon for Will Ralph Norman win Spartanburg County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

Will Ralph Norman win Spartanburg County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

99%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Graham Nordone <5%" sa 95%, sinusundan ng "Graham Nordone 5–10%" sa 4%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 95¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory" ay naka-generate ng $212.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 24, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory" ay "Graham Nordone <5%" sa 95%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Graham Nordone 5–10%" sa 4%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.