Recent polls in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Die Linke at 11–12 percent, consistent with its 11 percent result from 2021 and stable across multiple institutes. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA in early September show the party holding steady amid a fragmented field dominated by AfD gains and CDU weakness, with roughly one-quarter of voters still undecided. This narrow polling range, combined with typical survey margins of error near the 5 percent threshold, has kept trader probabilities closely split between the 9–12 percent and 12–15 percent bins. Potential last-minute shifts in turnout or late deciders among smaller parties could determine whether Die Linke finishes above or below 12 percent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
9-12% 51%
12-15% 43%
<9% 4.8%
15%+ 3.5%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
<9%
5%
9-12%
51%
12-15%
43%
15%+
4%
9-12% 51%
12-15% 43%
<9% 4.8%
15%+ 3.5%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
<9%
5%
9-12%
51%
12-15%
43%
15%+
4%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place Die Linke at 11–12 percent, consistent with its 11 percent result from 2021 and stable across multiple institutes. Surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA in early September show the party holding steady amid a fragmented field dominated by AfD gains and CDU weakness, with roughly one-quarter of voters still undecided. This narrow polling range, combined with typical survey margins of error near the 5 percent threshold, has kept trader probabilities closely split between the 9–12 percent and 12–15 percent bins. Potential last-minute shifts in turnout or late deciders among smaller parties could determine whether Die Linke finishes above or below 12 percent.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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