**Recent polling averages place BSW at 3–4% in the final surveys ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, positioning the 3–5% band as the dominant trader consensus at 79%.** Multiple institutes, including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey (late August to early September 2026), have shown the party stable in this narrow range, consistently below or at the edge of the 5% threshold required for Landtag entry. Earlier 2026 surveys fluctuated between roughly 4–6%, but no sustained upward momentum has materialized in the closing weeks, leaving 5–7% or higher outcomes with limited implied probability. The party’s distinctive positioning—emphasizing an “overpartisan” minister-president model with potential abstentions on AfD or CDU candidates—has generated media attention but has not translated into measurable polling gains. AfD leads at 41–43% and CDU trails at 22–23%, while other smaller parties also hover near or below the threshold, reflecting a broader fragmentation that has not benefited BSW specifically. With the vote occurring the next day, late swings remain possible yet appear unlikely given the stability of recent data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
3-5% 79%
<3% 13%
5-7% 10%
7%+ <1%
$14,754 Vol.
$14,754 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
13%
3-5%
79%
5-7%
10%
7%+
1%
3-5% 79%
<3% 13%
5-7% 10%
7%+ <1%
$14,754 Vol.
$14,754 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$9,535 Vol.
13%
3-5%
$1,977 Vol.
79%
5-7%
$2,117 Vol.
10%
7%+
$1,126 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling averages place BSW at 3–4% in the final surveys ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, positioning the 3–5% band as the dominant trader consensus at 79%.**
Multiple institutes, including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey (late August to early September 2026), have shown the party stable in this narrow range, consistently below or at the edge of the 5% threshold required for Landtag entry. Earlier 2026 surveys fluctuated between roughly 4–6%, but no sustained upward momentum has materialized in the closing weeks, leaving 5–7% or higher outcomes with limited implied probability.
The party’s distinctive positioning—emphasizing an “overpartisan” minister-president model with potential abstentions on AfD or CDU candidates—has generated media attention but has not translated into measurable polling gains. AfD leads at 41–43% and CDU trails at 22–23%, while other smaller parties also hover near or below the threshold, reflecting a broader fragmentation that has not benefited BSW specifically. With the vote occurring the next day, late swings remain possible yet appear unlikely given the stability of recent data.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$14,754Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling averages place BSW at 3–4% in the final surveys ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, positioning the 3–5% band as the dominant trader consensus at 79%.**
Multiple institutes, including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey (late August to early September 2026), have shown the party stable in this narrow range, consistently below or at the edge of the 5% threshold required for Landtag entry. Earlier 2026 surveys fluctuated between roughly 4–6%, but no sustained upward momentum has materialized in the closing weeks, leaving 5–7% or higher outcomes with limited implied probability.
The party’s distinctive positioning—emphasizing an “overpartisan” minister-president model with potential abstentions on AfD or CDU candidates—has generated media attention but has not translated into measurable polling gains. AfD leads at 41–43% and CDU trails at 22–23%, while other smaller parties also hover near or below the threshold, reflecting a broader fragmentation that has not benefited BSW specifically. With the vote occurring the next day, late swings remain possible yet appear unlikely given the stability of recent data.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$14,754Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place BSW at 3–4% in the final surveys ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, positioning the 3–5% band as the dominant trader consensus at 79%.** Multiple institutes, including Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, Infratest dimap, and Civey (late August to early September 2026), have shown the party stable in this narrow range, consistently below or at the edge of the 5% threshold required for Landtag entry. Earlier 2026 surveys fluctuated between roughly 4–6%, but no sustained upward momentum has materialized in the closing weeks, leaving 5–7% or higher outcomes with limited implied probability. The party’s distinctive positioning—emphasizing an “overpartisan” minister-president model with potential abstentions on AfD or CDU candidates—has generated media attention but has not translated into measurable polling gains. AfD leads at 41–43% and CDU trails at 22–23%, while other smaller parties also hover near or below the threshold, reflecting a broader fragmentation that has not benefited BSW specifically. With the vote occurring the next day, late swings remain possible yet appear unlikely given the stability of recent data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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