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Politika·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politika·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 52%

Elly Schlein 14%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

Roberto Vannacci 8.0%

Polymarket

$75,459 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 52%

Elly Schlein 14%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

Roberto Vannacci 8.0%

Polymarket

$75,459 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$8,653 Vol.

52%

Elly Schlein

$5,675 Vol.

14%

Giuseppe Conte

$5,139 Vol.

13%

Antonio Tajani

$2,102 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$3,330 Vol.

<1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,464 Vol.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$2,268 Vol.

3%

Silvia Salis

$8,526 Vol.

8%

Roberto Vannacci

$33,185 Vol.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$1,567 Vol.

1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,722 Vol.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$1,828 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in this market as the incumbent prime minister whose Brothers of Italy party continues to top opinion polls ahead of the next general election, due no later than December 2027. Recent parliamentary defeats on electoral reforms have exposed coalition strains with partners like Lega and Forza Italia, while a new far-right party launched by Roberto Vannacci risks splitting the right-wing vote. Center-left opposition figures, including Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement, benefit from emerging efforts to build a broader alliance. These dynamics, combined with scheduled votes and potential early-election considerations, shape trader assessments of the most likely successor by the 2028 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,459
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in this market as the incumbent prime minister whose Brothers of Italy party continues to top opinion polls ahead of the next general election, due no later than December 2027. Recent parliamentary defeats on electoral reforms have exposed coalition strains with partners like Lega and Forza Italia, while a new far-right party launched by Roberto Vannacci risks splitting the right-wing vote. Center-left opposition figures, including Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement, benefit from emerging efforts to build a broader alliance. These dynamics, combined with scheduled votes and potential early-election considerations, shape trader assessments of the most likely successor by the 2028 resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,459
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Giorgia Meloni" sa 52%, sinusundan ng "Elly Schlein" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 52¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ay naka-generate ng $75.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Prime Minister of Italy?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ay "Giorgia Meloni" sa 52%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Elly Schlein" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.