Google's I/O 2026 keynote announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after shipping 3.5 Flash has anchored trader expectations around a June release, with June 30 capturing the strongest implied probability at 58.5%. This reflects the typical pattern of Google delivering major Gemini Pro updates near month-end following developer conferences, combined with the absence of any confirmed June 15–29 dates in official statements or changelog entries through mid-June. The 19.1% on "no release by June 30" captures residual uncertainty over potential delays common in frontier model launches, while lower-probability mid-June dates align with faster historical iteration cycles. Key near-term catalysts include any additional executive updates, API changelog entries, or benchmark leaks that could shift sentiment before month-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 30 59%
No release by June 30 19.1%
June 23 13%
June 18 3.5%
$126,055 Vol.
$126,055 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 14
1%
June 15
<1%
June 16
2%
June 17
1%
June 18
4%
June 19
2%
June 20
<1%
June 21
<1%
June 22
<1%
June 23
13%
June 24
<1%
June 25
<1%
June 26
3%
June 27
<1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
59%
No release by June 30
19%
June 30 59%
No release by June 30 19.1%
June 23 13%
June 18 3.5%
$126,055 Vol.
$126,055 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 14
$2,640 Vol.
1%
June 15
$2,110 Vol.
<1%
June 16
$3,530 Vol.
2%
June 17
$3,739 Vol.
1%
June 18
$2,706 Vol.
4%
June 19
$2,709 Vol.
2%
June 20
$1,634 Vol.
<1%
June 21
$1,506 Vol.
<1%
June 22
$5,817 Vol.
<1%
June 23
$5,986 Vol.
13%
June 24
$4,355 Vol.
<1%
June 25
$2,428 Vol.
<1%
June 26
$4,843 Vol.
3%
June 27
$2,029 Vol.
<1%
June 28
$1,421 Vol.
<1%
June 29
$1,815 Vol.
<1%
June 30
$6,831 Vol.
59%
No release by June 30
$20,366 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after shipping 3.5 Flash has anchored trader expectations around a June release, with June 30 capturing the strongest implied probability at 58.5%. This reflects the typical pattern of Google delivering major Gemini Pro updates near month-end following developer conferences, combined with the absence of any confirmed June 15–29 dates in official statements or changelog entries through mid-June. The 19.1% on "no release by June 30" captures residual uncertainty over potential delays common in frontier model launches, while lower-probability mid-June dates align with faster historical iteration cycles. Key near-term catalysts include any additional executive updates, API changelog entries, or benchmark leaks that could shift sentiment before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$126,055Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after shipping 3.5 Flash has anchored trader expectations around a June release, with June 30 capturing the strongest implied probability at 58.5%. This reflects the typical pattern of Google delivering major Gemini Pro updates near month-end following developer conferences, combined with the absence of any confirmed June 15–29 dates in official statements or changelog entries through mid-June. The 19.1% on "no release by June 30" captures residual uncertainty over potential delays common in frontier model launches, while lower-probability mid-June dates align with faster historical iteration cycles. Key near-term catalysts include any additional executive updates, API changelog entries, or benchmark leaks that could shift sentiment before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$126,055Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's I/O 2026 keynote announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive "next month" after shipping 3.5 Flash has anchored trader expectations around a June release, with June 30 capturing the strongest implied probability at 58.5%. This reflects the typical pattern of Google delivering major Gemini Pro updates near month-end following developer conferences, combined with the absence of any confirmed June 15–29 dates in official statements or changelog entries through mid-June. The 19.1% on "no release by June 30" captures residual uncertainty over potential delays common in frontier model launches, while lower-probability mid-June dates align with faster historical iteration cycles. Key near-term catalysts include any additional executive updates, API changelog entries, or benchmark leaks that could shift sentiment before month-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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