Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with the company’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, have positioned the June 15–21 window as the leading outcome at 61.5% market-implied odds. Traders view the five-week gap between versions as consistent with OpenAI’s pattern of rapid large language model iterations, while internal testing signals and unconfirmed reports of a 1.5-million-token context window reinforce expectations for a mid-June public release. The lower probabilities on adjacent weeks and the 10.5% chance of delay beyond June 28 reflect uncertainty over the absence of any official announcement or system card, typical of OpenAI’s controlled rollout approach.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21 62%
June 22–June 28 18.6%
June 8–June 14 12%
Not released by June 28 11%
$87,465 Vol.
$87,465 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
12%
June 15–June 21
62%
June 22–June 28
19%
Not released by June 28
11%
June 15–June 21 62%
June 22–June 28 18.6%
June 8–June 14 12%
Not released by June 28 11%
$87,465 Vol.
$87,465 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
$19,876 Vol.
12%
June 15–June 21
$6,738 Vol.
62%
June 22–June 28
$5,283 Vol.
19%
Not released by June 28
$13,383 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with the company’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, have positioned the June 15–21 window as the leading outcome at 61.5% market-implied odds. Traders view the five-week gap between versions as consistent with OpenAI’s pattern of rapid large language model iterations, while internal testing signals and unconfirmed reports of a 1.5-million-token context window reinforce expectations for a mid-June public release. The lower probabilities on adjacent weeks and the 10.5% chance of delay beyond June 28 reflect uncertainty over the absence of any official announcement or system card, typical of OpenAI’s controlled rollout approach.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Volume
$87,465Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with the company’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, have positioned the June 15–21 window as the leading outcome at 61.5% market-implied odds. Traders view the five-week gap between versions as consistent with OpenAI’s pattern of rapid large language model iterations, while internal testing signals and unconfirmed reports of a 1.5-million-token context window reinforce expectations for a mid-June public release. The lower probabilities on adjacent weeks and the 10.5% chance of delay beyond June 28 reflect uncertainty over the absence of any official announcement or system card, typical of OpenAI’s controlled rollout approach.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$87,465Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 28, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent leaks of GPT-5.6 routing entries in OpenAI’s Codex backend logs, combined with the company’s accelerated release cadence following the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5, have positioned the June 15–21 window as the leading outcome at 61.5% market-implied odds. Traders view the five-week gap between versions as consistent with OpenAI’s pattern of rapid large language model iterations, while internal testing signals and unconfirmed reports of a 1.5-million-token context window reinforce expectations for a mid-June public release. The lower probabilities on adjacent weeks and the 10.5% chance of delay beyond June 28 reflect uncertainty over the absence of any official announcement or system card, typical of OpenAI’s controlled rollout approach.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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