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icon for New pandemic before 2028?

New pandemic before 2028?

icon for New pandemic before 2028?

New pandemic before 2028?

17% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
17% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Current surveillance from agencies like the CDC and WHO shows no pathogens meeting pandemic criteria, with only localized bacterial and viral outbreaks such as Salmonella clusters, low-risk hantavirus clusters, and contained Bundibugyo virus activity in parts of Africa. COVID-19 continues at endemic levels with very low emergency visits despite modest Rt estimates above 1 in recent U.S. data, while avian influenza and other zoonotic threats lack sustained human-to-human transmission. Trader consensus at 84% for no new pandemic before 2028 reflects these stable conditions, historical inter-pandemic intervals, and ongoing global monitoring that has not flagged imminent spillover risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$2,400
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Current surveillance from agencies like the CDC and WHO shows no pathogens meeting pandemic criteria, with only localized bacterial and viral outbreaks such as Salmonella clusters, low-risk hantavirus clusters, and contained Bundibugyo virus activity in parts of Africa. COVID-19 continues at endemic levels with very low emergency visits despite modest Rt estimates above 1 in recent U.S. data, while avian influenza and other zoonotic threats lack sustained human-to-human transmission. Trader consensus at 84% for no new pandemic before 2028 reflects these stable conditions, historical inter-pandemic intervals, and ongoing global monitoring that has not flagged imminent spillover risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$2,400
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "New pandemic before 2028?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 17% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 17¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 17% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "New pandemic before 2028?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 13, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "New pandemic before 2028?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "New pandemic before 2028?" ay 17% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 17% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "New pandemic before 2028?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.