**Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition’s stable parliamentary majority following the 2024 elections and the absence of any scheduled national vote until 2029.** The Lok Sabha term runs until June 2029, and no procedural mechanisms—such as a successful no-confidence motion or constitutional triggers—have emerged to force an early change. Recent developments, including youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities that peaked in summer 2026 and prompted the education minister’s resignation in July, were contained without broader erosion of government authority; demonstrations ended after concessions, and subsequent polling showed Modi retaining the highest preference as prime minister despite a modest dip in support. Economic headwinds and localized anti-incumbency have surfaced in surveys, yet they have not translated into credible challenges to leadership continuity. Modi has maintained an active role in diplomacy, including at the September 2026 BRICS summit, underscoring ongoing institutional stability. Traders price the low probability of removal by year-end against these structural and recent factors, with the short remaining window offering limited scope for unforeseen shifts absent major unforeseen events.