Skip to main content
icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politika·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politika·Main Elections

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 85%

Robert Kenyon 14%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,425,546 Vol.

Andy Burnham 85%

Robert Kenyon 14%

Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$2,425,546 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$269,546 Vol.

85%

Robert Kenyon

$199,153 Vol.

14%

Rebecca Shepherd

$1,928,958 Vol.

3%

Simon Finkelstein

$6,702 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$6,509 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$6,531 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$8,147 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 84.5% because Labour selected the Greater Manchester mayor as its candidate following Josh Simons’ resignation in May 2026, positioning Burnham to enter Parliament and potentially contest the party leadership. Recent Survation polling shows Burnham ahead on 49% to Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 39%, narrowing earlier gaps and confirming a two-horse contest in the constituency. Kenyon, a local councillor, benefits from Reform’s strong regional performance in recent local elections, yet faces the structural challenge of overturning Labour’s established base. The 18 June vote date leaves limited time for further shifts, with other candidates polling in single digits and holding minimal implied probability.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$2,425,546
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 84.5% because Labour selected the Greater Manchester mayor as its candidate following Josh Simons’ resignation in May 2026, positioning Burnham to enter Parliament and potentially contest the party leadership. Recent Survation polling shows Burnham ahead on 49% to Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon on 39%, narrowing earlier gaps and confirming a two-horse contest in the constituency. Kenyon, a local councillor, benefits from Reform’s strong regional performance in recent local elections, yet faces the structural challenge of overturning Labour’s established base. The 18 June vote date leaves limited time for further shifts, with other candidates polling in single digits and holding minimal implied probability.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$2,425,546
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Makerfield by-election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Andy Burnham" sa 85%, sinusundan ng "Robert Kenyon" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 85¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Makerfield by-election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $2.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 14, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Makerfield by-election Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Makerfield by-election Winner" ay "Andy Burnham" sa 85%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 85% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Robert Kenyon" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Makerfield by-election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.