Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models points to a minimum near 10–12°C in Warsaw on September 12 under high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies after recent showers. Radiative cooling overnight favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Trader positioning remains balanced between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for modest model shifts in boundary-layer conditions or timing of clearing. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight clustering around 10–11°C resolution bins. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
17°C or higher 80%
7°C or below 79%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
7°C or below
79%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
36%
11°C
22%
12°C
16%
13°C
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
35%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
80%
17°C or higher 80%
7°C or below 79%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
79%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
36%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$67 Vol.
16%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
35%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models points to a minimum near 10–12°C in Warsaw on September 12 under high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies after recent showers. Radiative cooling overnight favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Trader positioning remains balanced between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for modest model shifts in boundary-layer conditions or timing of clearing. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight clustering around 10–11°C resolution bins. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$67Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models points to a minimum near 10–12°C in Warsaw on September 12 under high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies after recent showers. Radiative cooling overnight favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Trader positioning remains balanced between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for modest model shifts in boundary-layer conditions or timing of clearing. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight clustering around 10–11°C resolution bins. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models points to a minimum near 10–12°C in Warsaw on September 12 under high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northwest winds, and mostly clear skies after recent showers. Radiative cooling overnight favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind would limit the drop. Trader positioning remains balanced between sub-7°C and 17°C+ outcomes because short-range ensemble spreads still allow for modest model shifts in boundary-layer conditions or timing of clearing. Historical September minima average around 10°C, providing context for the tight clustering around 10–11°C resolution bins. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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