Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Daytime highs reached approximately 28–29°C before gradual evening decline, aligning with typical early-September climatology where overnight lows average near 19–21°C. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 20°C. Unseasonably rapid radiative cooling under unexpectedly clear conditions or a localized measurement anomaly at the Incheon station could shift the recorded low, though current observations show no such divergence.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$11,306 Vol.
$11,306 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$11,306 Vol.
$11,306 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Daytime highs reached approximately 28–29°C before gradual evening decline, aligning with typical early-September climatology where overnight lows average near 19–21°C. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 20°C. Unseasonably rapid radiative cooling under unexpectedly clear conditions or a localized measurement anomaly at the Incheon station could shift the recorded low, though current observations show no such divergence.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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