**Trader consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on September 16, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the primary station used for such records, which logged a daily minimum of 79°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Highs reached 92°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, consistent with climatological norms where average lows hover near 77°F and recent Septembers have seen minima of 78-80°F. No anomalous cooling from fronts, heavy rain, or unusual cloud cover occurred to drive temperatures lower. Market-implied odds align closely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance projecting overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-event data revisions, differences across secondary stations, or precise resolution criteria on measurement timing, though historical patterns and model consensus make significant shifts improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on September 16?
78-79°F 94%
74-75°F 6%
76-77°F 2%
71°F or below <1%
$7,372 Vol.
$7,372 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
94%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 94%
74-75°F 6%
76-77°F 2%
71°F or below <1%
$7,372 Vol.
$7,372 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
94%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 78-79°F as the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on September 16, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the primary station used for such records, which logged a daily minimum of 79°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Highs reached 92°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly winds, consistent with climatological norms where average lows hover near 77°F and recent Septembers have seen minima of 78-80°F. No anomalous cooling from fronts, heavy rain, or unusual cloud cover occurred to drive temperatures lower. Market-implied odds align closely with pre-event National Weather Service guidance projecting overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential post-event data revisions, differences across secondary stations, or precise resolution criteria on measurement timing, though historical patterns and model consensus make significant shifts improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong