**Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, project an overnight low near 79°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southerly flow.** This setup favors 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 48% implied probability, as high humidity (often 70-90%) and limited radiative cooling overnight typically keep minima in the upper 70s rather than allowing deeper drops. Persistent warm advection from the Gulf and the absence of a strong frontal passage or clear, dry conditions explain why probabilities cluster around 76-81°F while assigning only modest weight to extremes below 70°F or above 88°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but the current pattern reflects warmer-than-normal early-month conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F during the day. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Houston on September 11?
69°F or below 49%
88°F or higher 49%
76-77°F 48%
70-71°F 39%
69°F or below
49%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
49%
69°F or below 49%
88°F or higher 49%
76-77°F 48%
70-71°F 39%
69°F or below
49%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service and private forecasts for Houston on September 11, 2026, project an overnight low near 79°F under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms and southerly flow.** This setup favors 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 48% implied probability, as high humidity (often 70-90%) and limited radiative cooling overnight typically keep minima in the upper 70s rather than allowing deeper drops. Persistent warm advection from the Gulf and the absence of a strong frontal passage or clear, dry conditions explain why probabilities cluster around 76-81°F while assigning only modest weight to extremes below 70°F or above 88°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 74°F, but the current pattern reflects warmer-than-normal early-month conditions with heat indices exceeding 100°F during the day. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong