**Persistent late-summer heat kept Dallas overnight lows elevated on September 16, 2026, driving trader consensus toward the 82–83°F bin.** Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 81°F under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds, consistent with the hot, humid pattern that produced daytime highs near 100°F and heat indices above 105°F. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 70°F for the date, reflecting the absence of any cooling frontal passages or significant cloud cover in recent days. Model guidance and surface observations showed minimal overnight radiative cooling amid elevated dew points, reinforcing market-implied odds that cluster around the low-to-mid 80s while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 78°F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Dallas on September 16?
82-83°F 98%
71°F or below 73%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 10%
$589 Vol.
$589 Vol.
71°F or below
73%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
-
82-83°F
98%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 98%
71°F or below 73%
78-79°F 18%
76-77°F 10%
$589 Vol.
$589 Vol.
71°F or below
73%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
-
82-83°F
98%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent late-summer heat kept Dallas overnight lows elevated on September 16, 2026, driving trader consensus toward the 82–83°F bin.** Official National Weather Service observations at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 81°F under mostly clear skies with light southeast winds, consistent with the hot, humid pattern that produced daytime highs near 100°F and heat indices above 105°F. This value sits well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 70°F for the date, reflecting the absence of any cooling frontal passages or significant cloud cover in recent days. Model guidance and surface observations showed minimal overnight radiative cooling amid elevated dew points, reinforcing market-implied odds that cluster around the low-to-mid 80s while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes below 78°F.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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