Traders assign the highest probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account during the August 7–14 window because the account has maintained a consistent pattern of low-volume activity in comparable recent periods. Official statements have been limited to occasional commemorative messages and personnel announcements amid the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s consolidation of authority, with similar weekly counts resolving below five in prior months. Recent developments include a handful of appointment-related posts on August 10 and one historical reflection on August 11, without any surge tied to ongoing regional diplomacy or internal administrative actions. This observed restraint, rather than high-volume commentary on sanctions, military integration, or external threats, underpins the current pricing across the distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKhamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 56%
5-9 24%
10-14 6.4%
15-19 2.9%
$11,501 Vol.
$11,501 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
56%
5-9
24%
10-14
6%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
1%
<5 56%
5-9 24%
10-14 6.4%
15-19 2.9%
$11,501 Vol.
$11,501 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<5
$6,842 Vol.
56%
5-9
$1,025 Vol.
24%
10-14
$575 Vol.
6%
15-19
$381 Vol.
3%
20-24
$312 Vol.
1%
25-29
$262 Vol.
1%
30-34
$289 Vol.
1%
35-39
$281 Vol.
1%
40-44
$276 Vol.
1%
45-49
$282 Vol.
1%
50-54
$282 Vol.
1%
55-59
$276 Vol.
<1%
60+
$416 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account during the August 7–14 window because the account has maintained a consistent pattern of low-volume activity in comparable recent periods. Official statements have been limited to occasional commemorative messages and personnel announcements amid the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s consolidation of authority, with similar weekly counts resolving below five in prior months. Recent developments include a handful of appointment-related posts on August 10 and one historical reflection on August 11, without any surge tied to ongoing regional diplomacy or internal administrative actions. This observed restraint, rather than high-volume commentary on sanctions, military integration, or external threats, underpins the current pricing across the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$11,501Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account during the August 7–14 window because the account has maintained a consistent pattern of low-volume activity in comparable recent periods. Official statements have been limited to occasional commemorative messages and personnel announcements amid the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s consolidation of authority, with similar weekly counts resolving below five in prior months. Recent developments include a handful of appointment-related posts on August 10 and one historical reflection on August 11, without any surge tied to ongoing regional diplomacy or internal administrative actions. This observed restraint, rather than high-volume commentary on sanctions, military integration, or external threats, underpins the current pricing across the distribution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,501Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to fewer than five posts by the official Khamenei account during the August 7–14 window because the account has maintained a consistent pattern of low-volume activity in comparable recent periods. Official statements have been limited to occasional commemorative messages and personnel announcements amid the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s consolidation of authority, with similar weekly counts resolving below five in prior months. Recent developments include a handful of appointment-related posts on August 10 and one historical reflection on August 11, without any surge tied to ongoing regional diplomacy or internal administrative actions. This observed restraint, rather than high-volume commentary on sanctions, military integration, or external threats, underpins the current pricing across the distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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