Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support amid the ongoing Gaza conflict, coalition strains over issues like ultra-Orthodox conscription, and competition from centrist challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The recent Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and Netanyahu’s expanded control over candidate slots, have not reversed this trend, with multiple surveys confirming the party’s diminished position relative to the 2022 results. Traders appear to view these consistent polling averages and the broader political environment as strong indicators that seat losses are the likely outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update87% tsansa
$11,128 Vol.
$11,128 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
87% tsansa
$11,128 Vol.
$11,128 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support amid the ongoing Gaza conflict, coalition strains over issues like ultra-Orthodox conscription, and competition from centrist challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The recent Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and Netanyahu’s expanded control over candidate slots, have not reversed this trend, with multiple surveys confirming the party’s diminished position relative to the 2022 results. Traders appear to view these consistent polling averages and the broader political environment as strong indicators that seat losses are the likely outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$11,128Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support amid the ongoing Gaza conflict, coalition strains over issues like ultra-Orthodox conscription, and competition from centrist challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The recent Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and Netanyahu’s expanded control over candidate slots, have not reversed this trend, with multiple surveys confirming the party’s diminished position relative to the 2022 results. Traders appear to view these consistent polling averages and the broader political environment as strong indicators that seat losses are the likely outcome.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$11,128Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election project Likud winning 22-24 seats, well below its current 32, reflecting sustained erosion of support amid the ongoing Gaza conflict, coalition strains over issues like ultra-Orthodox conscription, and competition from centrist challengers including Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. The recent Likud primaries, marked by low turnout and Netanyahu’s expanded control over candidate slots, have not reversed this trend, with multiple surveys confirming the party’s diminished position relative to the 2022 results. Traders appear to view these consistent polling averages and the broader political environment as strong indicators that seat losses are the likely outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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