Iceland’s August 29 referendum produced a narrow rejection of resuming EU accession negotiations, with the “No” side prevailing 52.5% to 47.5% according to broadcaster RÚV projections as counting concluded. Rural constituencies delivered decisive opposition driven by fishing rights and sovereignty concerns, while the capital Reykjavík backed renewed talks; this geographic split produced the slim margin that aligns with the market’s dominant pricing. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir’s centre-left government had advanced the vote earlier than its original 2027 timeline amid external pressures, yet the outcome leaves the long-suspended process closed for the foreseeable future absent new legislative action. A second referendum would still be required for any eventual accession treaty.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNo 3–6% 96%
No 6–9% 8%
Yes 9–12% 7.5%
No 15%+ 4.0%
$16,366 Vol.
$16,366 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
Yes 15%+
1%
Yes 12–15%
1%
Yes 9–12%
8%
Yes 6–9%
1%
Yes 3–6%
1%
Yes <3%
4%
No <3%
4%
No 3–6%
96%
No 6–9%
8%
No 9–12%
4%
No 12–15%
4%
No 15%+
4%
No 3–6% 96%
No 6–9% 8%
Yes 9–12% 7.5%
No 15%+ 4.0%
$16,366 Vol.
$16,366 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
Yes 15%+
$772 Vol.
1%
Yes 12–15%
$323 Vol.
1%
Yes 9–12%
$2,594 Vol.
8%
Yes 6–9%
$315 Vol.
1%
Yes 3–6%
$1,117 Vol.
1%
Yes <3%
$347 Vol.
4%
No <3%
$3,316 Vol.
4%
No 3–6%
$1,197 Vol.
96%
No 6–9%
$289 Vol.
8%
No 9–12%
$335 Vol.
4%
No 12–15%
$237 Vol.
4%
No 15%+
$5,525 Vol.
4%
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Iceland’s August 29 referendum produced a narrow rejection of resuming EU accession negotiations, with the “No” side prevailing 52.5% to 47.5% according to broadcaster RÚV projections as counting concluded. Rural constituencies delivered decisive opposition driven by fishing rights and sovereignty concerns, while the capital Reykjavík backed renewed talks; this geographic split produced the slim margin that aligns with the market’s dominant pricing. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir’s centre-left government had advanced the vote earlier than its original 2027 timeline amid external pressures, yet the outcome leaves the long-suspended process closed for the foreseeable future absent new legislative action. A second referendum would still be required for any eventual accession treaty.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$16,366Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Iceland’s August 29 referendum produced a narrow rejection of resuming EU accession negotiations, with the “No” side prevailing 52.5% to 47.5% according to broadcaster RÚV projections as counting concluded. Rural constituencies delivered decisive opposition driven by fishing rights and sovereignty concerns, while the capital Reykjavík backed renewed talks; this geographic split produced the slim margin that aligns with the market’s dominant pricing. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir’s centre-left government had advanced the vote earlier than its original 2027 timeline amid external pressures, yet the outcome leaves the long-suspended process closed for the foreseeable future absent new legislative action. A second referendum would still be required for any eventual accession treaty.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$16,366Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iceland’s August 29 referendum produced a narrow rejection of resuming EU accession negotiations, with the “No” side prevailing 52.5% to 47.5% according to broadcaster RÚV projections as counting concluded. Rural constituencies delivered decisive opposition driven by fishing rights and sovereignty concerns, while the capital Reykjavík backed renewed talks; this geographic split produced the slim margin that aligns with the market’s dominant pricing. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir’s centre-left government had advanced the vote earlier than its original 2027 timeline amid external pressures, yet the outcome leaves the long-suspended process closed for the foreseeable future absent new legislative action. A second referendum would still be required for any eventual accession treaty.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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