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icon for Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?
Klima At Agham·Weather

Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?

icon for Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?
Klima At Agham·Weather

Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

14–16 43%

17–19 37%

20+ 11.6%

11–13 8%

Polymarket

$1,387,722 Vol.

14–16 43%

17–19 37%

20+ 11.6%

11–13 8%

Polymarket

$1,387,722 Vol.

8–10

$159,694 Vol.

<1%

11–13

$415,726 Vol.

8%

14–16

$187,967 Vol.

43%

17–19

$212,583 Vol.

37%

20+

$67,719 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.With roughly 11 magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes recorded through mid-August 2026—slightly below the USGS long-term average of 15–16 annually—trader sentiment centers on natural year-to-year variability in subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Recent events, including the August 14 M7.7 off Indonesia and August 10 M7.4 in Colombia, have kept the count on a moderate pace without triggering aftershock sequences or any M8.0+ events that could inflate totals. The close split between 14–16 and 17–19 bins reflects uncertainty over whether remaining months will produce the typical cluster of large quakes or stay subdued, with USGS seismic monitoring and seasonal patterns in plate-boundary stress release as key upcoming influences.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$1,387,722
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.With roughly 11 magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes recorded through mid-August 2026—slightly below the USGS long-term average of 15–16 annually—trader sentiment centers on natural year-to-year variability in subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Recent events, including the August 14 M7.7 off Indonesia and August 10 M7.4 in Colombia, have kept the count on a moderate pace without triggering aftershock sequences or any M8.0+ events that could inflate totals. The close split between 14–16 and 17–19 bins reflects uncertainty over whether remaining months will produce the typical cluster of large quakes or stay subdued, with USGS seismic monitoring and seasonal patterns in plate-boundary stress release as key upcoming influences.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$1,387,722
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: Hindi

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Hindi

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "14–16" sa 43%, sinusundan ng "17–19" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 43¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $1.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 31, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay "14–16" sa 43%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "17–19" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.