Forecasts for Warsaw on August 7 show morning conditions under variable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover, supporting daytime maxima near 25–26°C according to consensus from ECMWF and GFS model runs. Small differences in predicted dew points, afternoon mixing depth, and incoming shortwave radiation create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while a modest risk of increased boundary-layer moisture or scattered afternoon convection could cap temperatures at 24°C or allow brief spikes to 27°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs around 23–25°C, so current model agreement near the upper end of that range underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on the final verified 24-hour maximum from official Polish meteorological observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 7?
25°C 40%
26°C 38%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 40%
26°C 38%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Warsaw on August 7 show morning conditions under variable high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover, supporting daytime maxima near 25–26°C according to consensus from ECMWF and GFS model runs. Small differences in predicted dew points, afternoon mixing depth, and incoming shortwave radiation create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while a modest risk of increased boundary-layer moisture or scattered afternoon convection could cap temperatures at 24°C or allow brief spikes to 27°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs around 23–25°C, so current model agreement near the upper end of that range underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities, with resolution hinging on the final verified 24-hour maximum from official Polish meteorological observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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