Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 26?
31°C 31%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
31%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
31%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Pacific high-pressure patterns sustaining Japan's midsummer heatwave, with recent 38°C+ readings in Tokyo suburbs on July 22, underpin trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for the July 26 daily high. Official JMA and ensemble guidance show limited cooling through the weekend amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects, yet scattered thunderstorm risks and minor model spread introduce downside potential for 29–30°C or upside to 33°C+. Historical late-July baselines near 33°C provide context, but the tight distribution around 31°C reflects near-term forecast stability ahead of the next model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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