Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a daily high near 101°F in Dallas on August 5, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. This reflects model consensus under typical late-summer conditions, with strong southerly flow, clear skies, and limited moisture limiting convective cooling. Historical August highs average near 96°F, so the current setup favors a modest above-normal peak. Traders price the 102-103°F range at 21% because minor forecast shifts or urban heat-island effects could push readings higher, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming cold front or increased cloud cover in updated model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on August 5?
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 13%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
13%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 53%
102-103°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 13%
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
13%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a daily high near 101°F in Dallas on August 5, aligning with the market's 53% implied probability on the 100-101°F bin. This reflects model consensus under typical late-summer conditions, with strong southerly flow, clear skies, and limited moisture limiting convective cooling. Historical August highs average near 96°F, so the current setup favors a modest above-normal peak. Traders price the 102-103°F range at 21% because minor forecast shifts or urban heat-island effects could push readings higher, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming cold front or increased cloud cover in updated model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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