Northeast monsoon flow and increasing cloud cover are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 25–27°C for Busan’s September 9 high, with 26°C and 27°C together holding over 60% implied probability. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights strengthening northeasterly winds of 15–30 km/h, which advect cooler maritime air and limit daytime heating, while partly cloudy skies reduce solar insolation. Model consensus points to a maximum near 25–26°C, consistent with climatological September norms of roughly 26–27°C, though light drizzle or variable timing of cloud breaks could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 24°C and 28°C, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind strength. Updated KMA forecasts and observational data expected overnight will likely tighten resolution odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Busan on September 9?
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
34%
27°C
30%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
34%
27°C
30%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow and increasing cloud cover are the main drivers keeping trader consensus centered on 25–27°C for Busan’s September 9 high, with 26°C and 27°C together holding over 60% implied probability. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights strengthening northeasterly winds of 15–30 km/h, which advect cooler maritime air and limit daytime heating, while partly cloudy skies reduce solar insolation. Model consensus points to a maximum near 25–26°C, consistent with climatological September norms of roughly 26–27°C, though light drizzle or variable timing of cloud breaks could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Recent model runs show modest spread between 24°C and 28°C, reflecting uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind strength. Updated KMA forecasts and observational data expected overnight will likely tighten resolution odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong