Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate crude oil (CL) dynamics as of mid-June 2026, with ongoing shipping restrictions contributing to sharp inventory draws and supporting near-term prices despite softer global demand. WTI futures trade near $88–90 per barrel amid reports of potential U.S.-Iran developments and production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day from affected regions. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects elevated Brent averages around $105 per barrel through June and July under a continued closure scenario, before any gradual reopening eases supply constraints later in the year. Traders are closely monitoring inventory reports, OPEC+ signals, and any diplomatic progress that could influence flows ahead of end-of-June settlement, as these factors directly shape market-implied probabilities for price thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$134,780 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$90
48%
$85
62%
$80
74%
$75
84%
$70
94%
$65
92%
$63
95%
$60
97%
$56
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$134,780 Vol.
$90
$26,665 Vol.
48%
$85
$7,205 Vol.
62%
$80
$6,175 Vol.
74%
$75
$16,942 Vol.
84%
$70
$20,312 Vol.
94%
$65
$877 Vol.
92%
$63
$9,113 Vol.
95%
$60
$23,500 Vol.
97%
$56
$4,950 Vol.
97%
$55
$3,634 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,332 Vol.
99%
$50
$9,074 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate crude oil (CL) dynamics as of mid-June 2026, with ongoing shipping restrictions contributing to sharp inventory draws and supporting near-term prices despite softer global demand. WTI futures trade near $88–90 per barrel amid reports of potential U.S.-Iran developments and production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day from affected regions. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects elevated Brent averages around $105 per barrel through June and July under a continued closure scenario, before any gradual reopening eases supply constraints later in the year. Traders are closely monitoring inventory reports, OPEC+ signals, and any diplomatic progress that could influence flows ahead of end-of-June settlement, as these factors directly shape market-implied probabilities for price thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$134,780Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate crude oil (CL) dynamics as of mid-June 2026, with ongoing shipping restrictions contributing to sharp inventory draws and supporting near-term prices despite softer global demand. WTI futures trade near $88–90 per barrel amid reports of potential U.S.-Iran developments and production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day from affected regions. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects elevated Brent averages around $105 per barrel through June and July under a continued closure scenario, before any gradual reopening eases supply constraints later in the year. Traders are closely monitoring inventory reports, OPEC+ signals, and any diplomatic progress that could influence flows ahead of end-of-June settlement, as these factors directly shape market-implied probabilities for price thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$134,780Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continue to dominate crude oil (CL) dynamics as of mid-June 2026, with ongoing shipping restrictions contributing to sharp inventory draws and supporting near-term prices despite softer global demand. WTI futures trade near $88–90 per barrel amid reports of potential U.S.-Iran developments and production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day from affected regions. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects elevated Brent averages around $105 per barrel through June and July under a continued closure scenario, before any gradual reopening eases supply constraints later in the year. Traders are closely monitoring inventory reports, OPEC+ signals, and any diplomatic progress that could influence flows ahead of end-of-June settlement, as these factors directly shape market-implied probabilities for price thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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