China’s official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent anchors trader expectations, with consensus forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and Reuters polls clustering at 4.4–4.6 percent. First-quarter expansion reached 5.0 percent on robust exports and high-tech manufacturing, but second-quarter growth slowed to 4.3 percent amid weak consumption, property-sector adjustment, and subdued domestic investment. Resilient external demand—particularly AI-related goods, electric vehicles, and mechanical products—has offset these pressures, while Beijing’s calibrated fiscal support, including a roughly 4 percent of GDP deficit and targeted bond issuance, sustains momentum within the target band. Recent data show continued export strength through August, though domestic demand remains soft, reinforcing the narrow 4.0–5.0 percent range as the dominant outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 6.1%
9.0%+ 1.4%
8.0–9.0% 1.4%
$897,822 Vol.
$897,822 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 6.1%
9.0%+ 1.4%
8.0–9.0% 1.4%
$897,822 Vol.
$897,822 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$67,888 Vol.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,259 Vol.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,793 Vol.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,404 Vol.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$222,330 Vol.
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,873 Vol.
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,941 Vol.
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 Vol.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,234 Vol.
1%
9.0%+
$116,748 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent anchors trader expectations, with consensus forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and Reuters polls clustering at 4.4–4.6 percent. First-quarter expansion reached 5.0 percent on robust exports and high-tech manufacturing, but second-quarter growth slowed to 4.3 percent amid weak consumption, property-sector adjustment, and subdued domestic investment. Resilient external demand—particularly AI-related goods, electric vehicles, and mechanical products—has offset these pressures, while Beijing’s calibrated fiscal support, including a roughly 4 percent of GDP deficit and targeted bond issuance, sustains momentum within the target band. Recent data show continued export strength through August, though domestic demand remains soft, reinforcing the narrow 4.0–5.0 percent range as the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$897,822Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent anchors trader expectations, with consensus forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and Reuters polls clustering at 4.4–4.6 percent. First-quarter expansion reached 5.0 percent on robust exports and high-tech manufacturing, but second-quarter growth slowed to 4.3 percent amid weak consumption, property-sector adjustment, and subdued domestic investment. Resilient external demand—particularly AI-related goods, electric vehicles, and mechanical products—has offset these pressures, while Beijing’s calibrated fiscal support, including a roughly 4 percent of GDP deficit and targeted bond issuance, sustains momentum within the target band. Recent data show continued export strength through August, though domestic demand remains soft, reinforcing the narrow 4.0–5.0 percent range as the dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$897,822Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent anchors trader expectations, with consensus forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and Reuters polls clustering at 4.4–4.6 percent. First-quarter expansion reached 5.0 percent on robust exports and high-tech manufacturing, but second-quarter growth slowed to 4.3 percent amid weak consumption, property-sector adjustment, and subdued domestic investment. Resilient external demand—particularly AI-related goods, electric vehicles, and mechanical products—has offset these pressures, while Beijing’s calibrated fiscal support, including a roughly 4 percent of GDP deficit and targeted bond issuance, sustains momentum within the target band. Recent data show continued export strength through August, though domestic demand remains soft, reinforcing the narrow 4.0–5.0 percent range as the dominant outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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