Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show five parties clustered between roughly 13% and 20%, with Die Linke and CDU often tied near the top, followed closely by AfD, Grüne, and SPD. This narrow spread among established and newer contenders such as BSW leaves fourth place highly sensitive to modest shifts in voter turnout, preference flows, or campaign events in the final weeks. Grüne currently holds the highest implied probability in the market, reflecting its typical mid-pack position, while Linke, AfD, and CDU trail with lower but competitive odds. Trader consensus prices the outcome as contested because historical Berlin results and recent aggregates demonstrate that small late swings frequently reorder the lower half of the field.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGrüne 45%
Linke 18%
AfD 14%
CDU 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
45%
Linke
18%
AfD
14%
CDU
16%
SPD
7%
FDP
5%
BSW
4%
FW
3%
Grüne 45%
Linke 18%
AfD 14%
CDU 10%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$2,724 Vol.
45%
Linke
$183 Vol.
18%
AfD
$36 Vol.
14%
CDU
$56 Vol.
16%
SPD
$36 Vol.
7%
FDP
$99 Vol.
5%
BSW
$51 Vol.
4%
FW
$84 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show five parties clustered between roughly 13% and 20%, with Die Linke and CDU often tied near the top, followed closely by AfD, Grüne, and SPD. This narrow spread among established and newer contenders such as BSW leaves fourth place highly sensitive to modest shifts in voter turnout, preference flows, or campaign events in the final weeks. Grüne currently holds the highest implied probability in the market, reflecting its typical mid-pack position, while Linke, AfD, and CDU trail with lower but competitive odds. Trader consensus prices the outcome as contested because historical Berlin results and recent aggregates demonstrate that small late swings frequently reorder the lower half of the field.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$3,267Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show five parties clustered between roughly 13% and 20%, with Die Linke and CDU often tied near the top, followed closely by AfD, Grüne, and SPD. This narrow spread among established and newer contenders such as BSW leaves fourth place highly sensitive to modest shifts in voter turnout, preference flows, or campaign events in the final weeks. Grüne currently holds the highest implied probability in the market, reflecting its typical mid-pack position, while Linke, AfD, and CDU trail with lower but competitive odds. Trader consensus prices the outcome as contested because historical Berlin results and recent aggregates demonstrate that small late swings frequently reorder the lower half of the field.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$3,267Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show five parties clustered between roughly 13% and 20%, with Die Linke and CDU often tied near the top, followed closely by AfD, Grüne, and SPD. This narrow spread among established and newer contenders such as BSW leaves fourth place highly sensitive to modest shifts in voter turnout, preference flows, or campaign events in the final weeks. Grüne currently holds the highest implied probability in the market, reflecting its typical mid-pack position, while Linke, AfD, and CDU trail with lower but competitive odds. Trader consensus prices the outcome as contested because historical Berlin results and recent aggregates demonstrate that small late swings frequently reorder the lower half of the field.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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