Strong South Korean growth, upgraded by the Bank of Korea to 3.3% for 2026 after robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand recovery, alongside July core inflation at 2.6%—its highest since late 2023—have anchored expectations for policy caution. The August 27 hike to 3.00% marked the second consecutive 25-basis-point tightening, with the board’s dot plot centering on 3.25% by year-end and emphasizing gradual action amid housing imbalances and won volatility. Traders price the November meeting at a 53.5% chance of no change versus 40% for a further hike, reflecting the BOK’s data-dependent stance and upcoming September-October releases on inflation and GDP that could shift the balance before the next decision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNo Change 54%
25 bps hike 40%
25 bps cut 6.7%
50+ bps cut 2.1%
50+ bps cut
2%
25 bps cut
7%
No Change
54%
25 bps hike
40%
50+ bps hike
<1%
No Change 54%
25 bps hike 40%
25 bps cut 6.7%
50+ bps cut 2.1%
50+ bps cut
2%
25 bps cut
7%
No Change
54%
25 bps hike
40%
50+ bps hike
<1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong South Korean growth, upgraded by the Bank of Korea to 3.3% for 2026 after robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand recovery, alongside July core inflation at 2.6%—its highest since late 2023—have anchored expectations for policy caution. The August 27 hike to 3.00% marked the second consecutive 25-basis-point tightening, with the board’s dot plot centering on 3.25% by year-end and emphasizing gradual action amid housing imbalances and won volatility. Traders price the November meeting at a 53.5% chance of no change versus 40% for a further hike, reflecting the BOK’s data-dependent stance and upcoming September-October releases on inflation and GDP that could shift the balance before the next decision.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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