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Mundo·Canada

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

icon for Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 80%

Pam Alexis 21%

Lakhwinder Jhaj <1%

Polymarket

$14,277 Vol.

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 80%

Pam Alexis 21%

Lakhwinder Jhaj <1%

Polymarket

$14,277 Vol.

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$12,418 Vol.

80%

icon for Pam Alexis

Pam Alexis

$992 Vol.

21%

icon for Lakhwinder Jhaj

Lakhwinder Jhaj

$868 Vol.

1%

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).**Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds an 80% implied probability in trader consensus for the Abbotsford-Mission by-election on September 26, 2026, reflecting the riding’s 2024 Conservative margin and her position as party leader.** The seat became vacant after MLA Reann Gasper resigned on August 22 to allow Findlay, elected Conservative leader in May, to seek entry to the legislature ahead of the fall session. Pam Alexis, the former NDP cabinet minister and 2024 runner-up, was nominated by the NDP the day the writ was issued, producing a rematch in a Fraser Valley district where Conservatives previously secured 55% of the vote. Minor-party candidates including Green Stephen Fowler, CentreBC’s Lakhwinder Jhaj, and Libertarian Jeff Monds complete the field, with advance voting underway from September 18–23. Recent internal polling and the short campaign timeline have reinforced Findlay’s frontrunner status while leaving limited scope for late shifts absent major developments.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$14,277
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elections.bc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).**Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds an 80% implied probability in trader consensus for the Abbotsford-Mission by-election on September 26, 2026, reflecting the riding’s 2024 Conservative margin and her position as party leader.** The seat became vacant after MLA Reann Gasper resigned on August 22 to allow Findlay, elected Conservative leader in May, to seek entry to the legislature ahead of the fall session. Pam Alexis, the former NDP cabinet minister and 2024 runner-up, was nominated by the NDP the day the writ was issued, producing a rematch in a Fraser Valley district where Conservatives previously secured 55% of the vote. Minor-party candidates including Green Stephen Fowler, CentreBC’s Lakhwinder Jhaj, and Libertarian Jeff Monds complete the field, with advance voting underway from September 18–23. Recent internal polling and the short campaign timeline have reinforced Findlay’s frontrunner status while leaving limited scope for late shifts absent major developments.

A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Volume
$14,277
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 26, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://elections.bc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" sa 80%, sinusundan ng "Pam Alexis" sa 21%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 80¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $14.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 31, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" ay "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" sa 80%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Pam Alexis" sa 21%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.