The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez under Washington pressure remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on any further invasion. Subsequent months have featured sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil exports, exploratory diplomatic restoration talks, and an energy cooperation framework, alongside limited U.S. leverage over finance and foreign policy. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas deepened humanitarian strains but prompted no additional U.S. military moves. With acting authorities complying on key U.S. priorities and no major escalatory triggers since the initial strikes, market pricing reflects low near-term probability of expanded ground operations or regime-change invasion by most resolution dates. Scheduled U.S. policy reviews and any Venezuelan compliance shortfalls could still influence sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะบุกเวเนซุเอลาโดย...?
สหรัฐฯจะบุกเวเนซุเอลาโดย...?
$14,192,785 ปริมาณ
Mar 31, 2026
31 ธันวาคม
5%
$14,192,785 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$236,777 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez under Washington pressure remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on any further invasion. Subsequent months have featured sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil exports, exploratory diplomatic restoration talks, and an energy cooperation framework, alongside limited U.S. leverage over finance and foreign policy. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas deepened humanitarian strains but prompted no additional U.S. military moves. With acting authorities complying on key U.S. priorities and no major escalatory triggers since the initial strikes, market pricing reflects low near-term probability of expanded ground operations or regime-change invasion by most resolution dates. Scheduled U.S. policy reviews and any Venezuelan compliance shortfalls could still influence sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,192,785วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez under Washington pressure remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on any further invasion. Subsequent months have featured sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil exports, exploratory diplomatic restoration talks, and an energy cooperation framework, alongside limited U.S. leverage over finance and foreign policy. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas deepened humanitarian strains but prompted no additional U.S. military moves. With acting authorities complying on key U.S. priorities and no major escalatory triggers since the initial strikes, market pricing reflects low near-term probability of expanded ground operations or regime-change invasion by most resolution dates. Scheduled U.S. policy reviews and any Venezuelan compliance shortfalls could still influence sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,192,785วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and installed interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez under Washington pressure remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on any further invasion. Subsequent months have featured sanctions relief on Venezuelan oil exports, exploratory diplomatic restoration talks, and an energy cooperation framework, alongside limited U.S. leverage over finance and foreign policy. A June 2026 earthquake near Caracas deepened humanitarian strains but prompted no additional U.S. military moves. With acting authorities complying on key U.S. priorities and no major escalatory triggers since the initial strikes, market pricing reflects low near-term probability of expanded ground operations or regime-change invasion by most resolution dates. Scheduled U.S. policy reviews and any Venezuelan compliance shortfalls could still influence sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย