US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled amid conflicting statements and indirect mediation. President Trump stated on August 18 that no direct talks or conversations with Iran are underway or scheduled, following his earlier claims of imminent negotiations tied to the Strait of Hormuz and the June Islamabad Memorandum. Iran has denied plans for bilateral meetings, emphasizing talks with Oman on Hormuz access and rejecting US assertions of control over the waterway. Mediators including Pakistan and Qatar continue efforts to revive momentum, while back-channel contacts with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have been reported. With the August 31 deadline approaching, any new round would likely involve technical-level officials or third-party facilitation rather than high-level principals, given the current deadlock over ceasefire terms, nuclear issues, and maritime transit.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?
$93,917 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Nick Stewart
16%
Kazem Gharibabadi
8%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Ishaq Dar
3%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
Rafael Grossi
3%
J.D. Vance
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
$93,917 ปริมาณ
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 ปริมาณ
10%
Nick Stewart
$36 ปริมาณ
16%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,690 ปริมาณ
8%
Jared Kushner
$13,481 ปริมาณ
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,051 ปริมาณ
5%
Steve Witkoff
$13,535 ปริมาณ
4%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 ปริมาณ
3%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,040 ปริมาณ
3%
Pete Hegseth
$2,630 ปริมาณ
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,606 ปริมาณ
3%
Rafael Grossi
$886 ปริมาณ
3%
J.D. Vance
$11,213 ปริมาณ
2%
Donald Trump
$6,525 ปริมาณ
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 ปริมาณ
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 ปริมาณ
1%
Esmail Qaani
$476 ปริมาณ
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 ปริมาณ
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$259 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled amid conflicting statements and indirect mediation. President Trump stated on August 18 that no direct talks or conversations with Iran are underway or scheduled, following his earlier claims of imminent negotiations tied to the Strait of Hormuz and the June Islamabad Memorandum. Iran has denied plans for bilateral meetings, emphasizing talks with Oman on Hormuz access and rejecting US assertions of control over the waterway. Mediators including Pakistan and Qatar continue efforts to revive momentum, while back-channel contacts with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have been reported. With the August 31 deadline approaching, any new round would likely involve technical-level officials or third-party facilitation rather than high-level principals, given the current deadlock over ceasefire terms, nuclear issues, and maritime transit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$93,917วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled amid conflicting statements and indirect mediation. President Trump stated on August 18 that no direct talks or conversations with Iran are underway or scheduled, following his earlier claims of imminent negotiations tied to the Strait of Hormuz and the June Islamabad Memorandum. Iran has denied plans for bilateral meetings, emphasizing talks with Oman on Hormuz access and rejecting US assertions of control over the waterway. Mediators including Pakistan and Qatar continue efforts to revive momentum, while back-channel contacts with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have been reported. With the August 31 deadline approaching, any new round would likely involve technical-level officials or third-party facilitation rather than high-level principals, given the current deadlock over ceasefire terms, nuclear issues, and maritime transit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$93,917วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled amid conflicting statements and indirect mediation. President Trump stated on August 18 that no direct talks or conversations with Iran are underway or scheduled, following his earlier claims of imminent negotiations tied to the Strait of Hormuz and the June Islamabad Memorandum. Iran has denied plans for bilateral meetings, emphasizing talks with Oman on Hormuz access and rejecting US assertions of control over the waterway. Mediators including Pakistan and Qatar continue efforts to revive momentum, while back-channel contacts with Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have been reported. With the August 31 deadline approaching, any new round would likely involve technical-level officials or third-party facilitation rather than high-level principals, given the current deadlock over ceasefire terms, nuclear issues, and maritime transit.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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