The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence with an attack on one treated as an attack on all, plus frameworks for defense cooperation, joint exercises, and a permanent secretariat. Signatories have signaled the pact is open to accession, driving trader focus on near-term joiners amid regional security realignments. Egypt maintains the highest implied probability, with its foreign minister confirming ongoing review against constitutional requirements and Turkish officials describing it as the most likely next member once technical issues are resolved. Iran received a reported mid-August invitation and has the matter under review, while Syria’s foreign minister indicated consideration of accession or cooperation by late August. Lower-probability candidates include Iraq, Qatar, Jordan, and select Gulf or Central Asian states, with accession hinging on bilateral diplomacy, alignment on threat perceptions, and domestic approvals before the December 31, 2026, deadline. No further formal accessions have occurred since the founding trio.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
$55,601 ปริมาณ

Egypt
14%

Jordan
13%

United Arab Emirates
12%

Kuwait
11%

Bahrain
10%

Sudan
10%

Qatar
10%

Somalia
9%

Morocco
9%

Oman
9%

Algeria
8%

Syria
8%

Iraq
7%

Yemen
7%

Iran
7%

Lebanon
2%
$55,601 ปริมาณ

Egypt
14%

Jordan
13%

United Arab Emirates
12%

Kuwait
11%

Bahrain
10%

Sudan
10%

Qatar
10%

Somalia
9%

Morocco
9%

Oman
9%

Algeria
8%

Syria
8%

Iraq
7%

Yemen
7%

Iran
7%

Lebanon
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective deterrence with an attack on one treated as an attack on all, plus frameworks for defense cooperation, joint exercises, and a permanent secretariat. Signatories have signaled the pact is open to accession, driving trader focus on near-term joiners amid regional security realignments. Egypt maintains the highest implied probability, with its foreign minister confirming ongoing review against constitutional requirements and Turkish officials describing it as the most likely next member once technical issues are resolved. Iran received a reported mid-August invitation and has the matter under review, while Syria’s foreign minister indicated consideration of accession or cooperation by late August. Lower-probability candidates include Iraq, Qatar, Jordan, and select Gulf or Central Asian states, with accession hinging on bilateral diplomacy, alignment on threat perceptions, and domestic approvals before the December 31, 2026, deadline. No further formal accessions have occurred since the founding trio.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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